Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ playoff chances midseason: Can Baker Mayfield and his teammates make a dramatic breakthrough to maintain their position in the NFC South?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers didn’t look the part in their 23-3 victory over the New Orleans Saints on Sunday, particularly the offense, but they’re now 6-2 headed into their bye week before gearing up for the second half of the season.

The Bucs have gotten off to one of the best starts in franchise history, and are well in control of their playoff hopes as they currently hold the third overall seed in the NFC and a strong grasp on the top spot in the NFC South.

Oct 22, 2023; Tampa, Florida, USA;  Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) speaks to head coach Todd Bowles Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

With Tampa Bay trending towards being one of the NFL’s top playoff contenders, it got us thinking about what their chances would be to make the playoffs now that we are at the midway point of the 2025 season.

According to PlayoffStatus.com, the Buccaneers have some of the highest odds to make the playoffs at 92 percent.

Oct 26, 2025; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers outside linebacker Lavonte David (54) Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-Imagn Images / Stephen Lew-Imagn Images

92% is a great percentage for the Buccaneers. They have faced adversity head-on and have come through on the other side fairly unscathed (as far as losses are concerned, at least).

The Bucs will have a tough stretch immediately after the bye with the Los Angeles Rams, New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills on the docket, but things should lighten up for them after that with a bunch of teams that are fighting to stay alive. So, with all things considered, it is hard to see a path where the Bucs don’t reach the playoffs, albeit if they avoid any serious issues the rest of the way.

Per the site, the Buccaneers not only have a great chance to reach the playoffs, but they also have a great chance of moving through the playoffs. Currently, the Bucs have a 61 percent chance to reach the second round, a 33 percent chance to make the conference championship, a 16 percent chance to reach the Super Bowl and the third-highest chance of being named the winner of Super Bowl LX.

The Buccaneers are trending upward, and it might take injuries to finally get the best of them or unforeseen circumstances for them to miss out on their postseason goals.

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